With Donald Trump, the most extreme and unqualified candidate of a major party, in striking distance of winning the presidency, we stand on the edge of the abyss. This election shouldn't be this close. You can use the comments section as an open thread as the next few days unspool. For my contribution, here are a dozen of the most consequential elections, nationally and in Arizona. At the least, they show that elections do indeed matter.
1828: John Quincy Adams vs. Andrew Jackson. Adams, the sitting Whig president, was defeated by war hero Jackson. The Whigs stood for the "American System" of internal improvements (infrastructure), a national bank and limiting the spread of slavery. Jackson was just the opposite. Jackson's victory led to the breaking of solemn treaties with the Five Civilized Tribes and their brutal relocation west (denounced by Adams) to open land for slaveholders, among many other ills.
1844: James K. Polk vs. Henry Clay. The defeat of "Harry of the West" not only doomed the American System but eliminated the last chance that the Civil War might have been postponed or avoided. One reason was the familiar partisan circular firing squad. Clay lost votes in New York and Pennsylvania to the abolitionist Liberty Party. It was the death of the Whigs.
With Polk, the nation again had a Southerner determined to extend slavery, including by prosecuting the highly unpopular Mexican War. At one point, Polk considered demanding all the territory to Tampico, but didn't want so many Mexicans brought into the union (they automatically became U.S. citizens with the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, which ended the war). On the other hand, in settling the Oregon Country dispute with Great Britain, he would have settled for the Columbia River as the northern border (in other words, Seattle would be in British Columbia). With Polk, the Civil War became inevitable.
1860: Abraham Lincoln vs. Stephen Douglas vs. John C. Breckenridge vs. John Bell. The new Republican Party was overtly anti-slavery, although its standard-bearer, the railroad lawyer Abe Lincoln, was more equivocal. It also adopted many American System positions and added new ones, including federal subsidies for a transcontinental railroad, land grant colleges, and the Homestead Act.
The Democrats fractured, allowing Lincoln to win with 40 percent of the vote. He won no electoral votes in the 10 states of the South. Only Lincoln would have fought for, and persevered, in holding together the union. The South's fatal mistake was firing the first shot. How did the nation bind up its historic division? Through the greatest bloodshed in the history of the republic, where most of the hotheads were killed.
1900: William McKinley vs. William Jennings Bryan. The play Inherit the Wind mischaracterized Bryan as a fool and buffoon in the Scopes case against the cosmopolitan and erudite (and my cousin) Clarence Darrow. In fact, Bryan was perhaps the most beloved politician of late 19th century, a great orator (e.g. his "Cross of Gold" speech), and the Bernie Sanders of his age.
Bryan ran against imperialism, big corporations, and the "tyranny" of the gold standard, which contributed to inequality. McKinley, a handsome Civil War combat veteran who presided (with misgivings) over the victorious Spanish American War, and backed by Gilded Age money, won. It was the last serious chance for pure populism to win an American presidential election. McKinley was assassinated in 1901, bringing his young vice president, detested for good reason by the Republican bosses, to the presidency. Theodore Roosevelt ushered in the Progressive Era.
1932: Herbert Hoover vs. Franklin D. Roosevelt. Hoover was the most activist president in American history up to that point in confronting an economic disaster. Many of FDR's most successful programs began under Hoover. But Hoover resisted aiding individuals and families, lacked FDR's mastery of the new medium of radio, and came off as out of touch. Roosevelt was the essential man for the moment, most of all willing to experiment at a time of the nation's great peril. Capitalism seemed done. Fascism appeared a viable path forward. Any ordinary Democrat or a Hoover re-election might have doomed the country — and the West.
2000: George W. Bush vs. Al Gore. Questions? The damage began when the Supreme Court arrogated powers in a clear constitutional issue, the outcome forever tarnishing Sandra Day O'Connor's legacy. And the revels were only getting started.
1952: Ernest McFarland vs. Barry Goldwater. "Mac" was one of Arizona's most popular politicians, majority leader of the U.S. Senate, and, among other accomplishments, the father of the G.I. Bill. A lawyer specializing in water, Mac, along with Sen. Carl Hayden, ensured Arizona punched above its weight in the long-running dispute with California, and helped bring plenty of federal funding home. He was dragged down by the unpopularity of Harry Truman. Goldwater, a good-looking young Phoenix City Councilman and department store owner, rode Ike's coattails to a narrow victory.
Yes, the race showed a changing Arizona, especially Maricopa County, both of which had been reliably Democratic since statehood. And Steve Shadegg, Goldwater's campaign manager, ran a masterful race. But the biggest problem for Mac was the general unpopularity of the Democrats under Truman, and especially the Korean War. McFarland would go on to serve as Arizona governor and chief justice.
1962: Carl Hayden vs. Evan Mecham. Hayden had represented Arizona in Congress since statehood and the Senate since 1927. His institutional knowledge, seniority, and political skills in serving a small state were essential to Arizona, particularly to winning the Central Arizona Project. Yet the state, and especially Phoenix, had added so many Republican Midwesterners since Hayden's last election, that he faced a serious threat from the John Bircher Glendale car dealer Mecham.
Hayden's chief of staff Roy Elson came up with a campaign to reintroduce the senator to the state, backed by appearances by President John Kennedy and Vice President Lyndon Johnson at the Hotel Westward Ho on "Carl Hayden Day." Hayden was re-elected by almost 55 percent. Mecham and Mechamism would continue to metastasize.
1976: Sam Steiger vs. John B. Conlan. Arguably the future trajectory of Arizona politics began with this bitter primary contest, which happened the same year Arizona Republic reporter Don Bolles was murdered. Steiger and Conlan were both Republican congressmen who hoped to fill the seat of retiring Sen. Paul Fannin. They were also both conservatives who believed in doing nothing to bring federal money to Arizona, with the exception of, perhaps, the CAP. This was a new phenomenon but it would go on to define the state GOP delegation after the retirement of Rep. John Rhodes in 1983.
But there the similarities ended. Steiger, from Yavapai County, was an old-time Western independent, individualistic conservative. He could be endearing, or alienating, with his blunt humor and eccentricity (during the campaign, Steiger shot two tame burros, claiming they were charging him). Conlan, a Harvard-trained lawyer from Illinois, was a precursor of Christian Coalition-style politics. According to historian Jack August, "His zealotry offended some, including Republican Party regulars, but his supporters were true believers. Conlan’s candidacy in 1976 symbolized the increasingly significant role of religion in 20th century American politics." Steiger and Conlan detested each other.
It was an ugly campaign, including anti-Semitic innuendo by the Conlan forces. Steiger was Jewish, as was Maricopa County GOP leader Harry Rosenzweig. Barry Goldwater (whose father was Jewish), was a national icon by then and never took sides in primaries. This time, he stood against Conlan — he also didn't like religion in politics as a general proposition, and became angrier with Conlan as the campaign unfolded. Many mainline Protestant ministers in Phoenix also denounced Conlan, when such liberal divines still carried weight in the city. Even Fannin, a model gentleman politician (and the subject of the new biography Tall Paul by Adam Schrager), let it be known that Conlan was hurting the party and the state.
Steiger narrowly defeated Conlan but lost in November to Pima County Attorney Dennis DeConcini. The GOP was wounded from the primary but the Democratic Party was still a force in Arizona. DeConcini was a law-and-order conservative. His candidacy was also boosted by being the son of Evo DeConcini, the widely respected former state Attorney General and an Arizona Supreme Court Justice. Conlan would neatly fit into today's GOP. Not Sam Steiger.
1986: Carolyn Warner vs. Evan Mecham vs. Bill Schultz. This snakebit race was one of the last chances to prevent Arizona's "lost decade" of the 1990s. It pitted Warner, the Democratic Superintendent of Public Instruction, against the ever-insurgent Ev Mecham. But wait! There was developer Bill Schultz, first running as a Democrat in the primary, then dropping out because of his daughter's health, and then returning to the race as an independent. With turnout at the lowest in 40 years, Mecham was elected as Schultz peeled votes away from Warner.
The full implications for the state will have to wait for a column on the 1990s. But Mecham's win showed the rising power of the John Birchers, LDS, and new right. Also a changing GOP. He defeated the lionized state House Republican leader, the mostly pragmatic Burton Barr. All the state establishment, including the Pulliam press and Barry Goldwater, supported Barr — but here was a sign of how immigration of "Big Sort" conservatives and suburbanization were changing Arizona. Just a decade later, Conlan's brand of conservatism was ascendant.
1992: John McCain vs. Claire King Sargent. Another benchmark on the road to perdition. Maybe the time to stop McCain — who, although honored for his war record and lionized by many, has done nothing for Arizona — was in his initial run for the Senate in 1986. Then, he bulldozed former legislator Richard Kimball, winning more than 60 percent of the vote and every county. His real POW hero background was compelling and the dark sides not yet so evident.
Things were different in 1992, when McCain had been involved in the Keating Five scandal. Far from being an innocent rookie dragged along with the other four U.S. Senators, McCain was in the racket up to his eyeballs. He should have been vulnerable. But novice Claire King Sargent, although smart, witty, and armed with a Southern accent, didn't or couldn't exploit the scandal. She had little money, purchasing only one ad. The Pulliam press barely covered the race, especially McCain's Keating links.
McCain won by 56 percent with Mecham, running as an independent, carrying another 10 percent. Once again, McCain won every county, even the supposed Democratic bastion of Pima. His victory was a sign of the enormous "Big Sort" migration of the 1990s, as well as the withering of the Democratic Party in the state. Bill Clinton's 1996 victory here did nothing to change this fundamental reality.
2010: Jan Brewer vs. Terry Goddard. Brewer, who had been Secretary of State (and head of the state Bush campaign) became an accidental governor when St. Janet became President Obama's Secretary of Homeland Security. She was abrasive and not very bright. Her Democratic challenger was the successful former mayor of Phoenix and state Attorney General. Goddard represented a chance to reconstitute Napolitano's "sensible center" coalition.
Yet the anti-Hispanic hysteria, exemplified by SB 1070, swamped Goddard. Brewer became governor in her own right and presided over the state's full tilt into national-embarrassment crazy. Napolitano saw the future, and it was one where Democrats stood no chance.
The election is this close because you have many people who have NO interest in working with the other side--and actually believe they can do it all on their own, and should be allowed to.
They forget the axiom that when you "point your finger" at someone, you have four fingers pointing back at you.
It's a sad fact that, were Reagan on the ballot, he couldn't be elected dogcatcher.
Demonization only shows that those declaring others to be "demons" must be familiar with the "demon." Otherwise, how do they know what a "demon" is?
If we don't learn to work together, we will all sink together.
Posted by: Bradley Dranka | November 07, 2016 at 08:59 PM
Question for Rogue.
You wrote, "the rising power of the John Birchers, LDS, and new right. " while describing the dynamics of the 1986 election.
Are you suggesting the LDS wasn't politically active until the 1980's?
Posted by: HMLS | November 07, 2016 at 10:55 PM
Long, but fast moving line at my polling place this morning. So many Latinos out there actually voting! I'm encouraged that all the hard work the ADP (AZ Democratic Party) did along with voter outreach organizations will change Arizona's course. Goodbye Arpaio!
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 08, 2016 at 07:57 AM
When one looks at the past eight years, it seems there is much more unshakable defiance and obstructionism coming from the Republicans than the Democrats.
The rhetoric of Trump underscores the volcanic anger--and absolute detesting of the Democrats--of his core supporters. I do believe at least part of this warlike posture is that the far-right DOES believe God is on their side. One must include the Moral Majority and Evangelicals in any calculus of both the modern Republican party's power and the far-right's aggressive intransigence toward working across the aisle.
This absolute opposition toward abortions of any kind, expansion of voting rights, liberal Supreme Court Justices ("It's our court," Ted Cruz.), immigration reform, and trimming military spending is fuelled by a form of religious zealotry. This extremism is very similar to radical Islam. Religious overtones permeate all of the above issues and many more because these Bible bullies DO believe that their religion is facing an existential threat from both liberals and Moslems.
They also believe this country faces a similar crisis because, to them, THEIR religion is meant to guide America.
That this country was founded on the separation of church and state means nothing to them.
Posted by: Bradley Dranka | November 08, 2016 at 10:22 AM
HMLS,
I'm suggesting that the LDS was not so closely connected to one party. The support for Mecham was inevitable because he was a Saint himself.
But into my early adulthood, most of the Mormons I knew were Democrats. And not only "Pintos," either. The most prominent examples were Stewart and Mo Udall, both vigorous liberals. The LDS was not part of a religious coalition in American politics then; far from it, considering the church's fraught and complex history in the 19th century.
This (before 1980) was before the culture wars, of course. But many older Arizona Mormons when I was young were defined by their commitment to building a better state, public education, the arts, public service, and Arizona getting more than its fair share of federal dollars.
Posted by: Rogue Columnist | November 08, 2016 at 11:29 AM
Voting is important. So why the hell do so many people make it so hard? From the ThinkProgress piece about lines in AZ today;
“If you can’t afford to stand in a long line, if you can’t afford daycare, that’s basically a poll tax. It’s just not fair.”
We offer mail in voting. Holy cow, how much further we need to go for some people? What if they don't own a pen at home? Is that a poll tax? We've got serious voter supression concerns and I don't think people acting like stubborn children claiming every mistake and hold up is a conspiracy against them help the big picture of identifying the real problems and addressing them.
Sorry to go off, I just don't get it. Voting is a civic duty and we knew there were issues with polling sites. Why don't people utilize the tools given to them in order to make the process easier?
Full article: https://thinkprogress.org/arizona-voters-demand-justice-department-keep-polls-open-late-tonight-ebcf3fc0057a#.cncg8yhxy
Posted by: blaxabbath | November 08, 2016 at 01:50 PM
Arizona election voting places.
Will the real Purcell stand up? Is Purcell the person she "appears" to be. Few inquiries were made of Purcell in the past when Republicans were seldom challenged.
Is there a Purcell history not evident. Where are the real "reporters"? Reporters that dig deep. Reporters that dig for facts not gottcha questions. Arizona has lost its real reporters as it has lost its political way since 1976. The great ASU Cronkite journalism school appears to turn out fresh beautiful faces, cloaked in fashionable attire. Faces that speak very clearly as they read from the teleprompter. Not a speck of dirt or sweat stained shirts anywhere.
Posted by: Cal Lash | November 08, 2016 at 02:32 PM
What's next?
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article45800.htm
Posted by: ross | November 08, 2016 at 04:17 PM
Thank you for the very fair assessment of Herbert Hoover, RC. Love your nuanced knowledge of history.
I recently received the new Gammage book as well as your Phoenix book for my birthday (they both had been on my wishlist for some time) and look forward to reading them both and will let you know my thoughts.
I dropped off my and my wife's ballots today and there was no line at all. Looking forward to watching the election unfold on television from here on out.
I pray that this election will work out for the best for all of us, whatever way that may be in God's plan, and that you all have a lovely evening.
Posted by: Mark in Scottsdale | November 08, 2016 at 04:29 PM
I am live tweeting the election @jontalton
Posted by: Rogue Columnist | November 08, 2016 at 04:43 PM
Cool, reading through your tweets now, some nice curation from what I am seeing.
What news network do you watch tonight? I am watching CBS News since they have quite a team with Schieffer, Dickerson, Garrett, etc., all journalists I am very familiar with.
Also, FOX had Judge Judy on at 430 and if that isn't a travesty I don't know what is...sheesh.
Posted by: Mark in Scottsdale | November 08, 2016 at 05:41 PM
Local news (Ch. 5) showing 2.5-3 hour lines currently at a polling place at 51st Ave and Osborn as poll closing time approaches. That's a stark contrast to the total lack of lines at my polling place. I'd love to see a demographic breakdown of who votes early/by mail versus voting in person voting. Are polling places apportioned equally but certain demographic groups more likely not to vote early/by mail? Or what explains how lines are hours long in some places and not long at all in other places.
Granted, we have also seen lengthy, lengthy lines in dark blue states like New York so it's hard sometimes to separate what's voter suppression and what's incompetent election organizing, but the contrast in wait times is stark in Maricopa County.
Posted by: Mark in Scottsdale | November 08, 2016 at 07:02 PM
Arpaio losing and Clinton/Trump inna tight race in AZ. It doesn't look good for Clinton nationwide.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 08, 2016 at 08:35 PM
Penzone is the new sheriff in Maricopa County! Paul Babeu is losing District 1 to a Democrat.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 08, 2016 at 09:21 PM
Prop 206 also a win (minimum wage increase). Good riddance to Sheriff Joe.
Posted by: 100 Octane | November 08, 2016 at 09:26 PM
Trump appoints Joe as head of Homeland Security.
Posted by: Cal Lash | November 08, 2016 at 09:50 PM
This will all make for very interesting reading tomorrow.
Posted by: 100 Octane | November 08, 2016 at 10:02 PM
Cal, my goodness, I hadn't even thought about the possibility of Sherriff Joe in the Trump Admin...but clearly anything is possible.
I just truly don't understand some things. Tonight is the death of the traditional way we've thought that people chose the President. Traditional media? Debates? Gaffes? Demographic trends? Ground games / get out the vote organizations? Polls?
None of it mattered, and a lot of it was flat-out wrong. I guess the Brexit vote was prescient -- certain types of voters can't be polled accurately, at least not the way that people know how to do polling in 2016.
Posted by: Mark in Scottsdale | November 08, 2016 at 10:12 PM
The old saying holds true:
Sometimes you have to hit rock bottom.
And we will, very soon.
Posted by: B. Franklin | November 08, 2016 at 10:28 PM
Looks like we are burning down the house.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 08, 2016 at 10:50 PM
This election is the Black Swan event of modern American history. Nothing has ever come close to this epic failure in American politics. We will spend years trying to figure out what happened to a supposedly mature democracy. If we hit rock bottom without completely crashing this tenuous experiment in self-government, we'll be very fortunate.
Democracy itself only works if we honor the tremendous responsibility it imposes on us. We necessarily support the precepts like majority rule and election outcomes. I will not pretend to ever respect Donald Trump or the millions of low-information citizens who thoughtlessly voted for him. But that in itself is meaningless. We are free to scuttle this last great hope of mankind if we so choose. We might have made that choice tonight. Only time will tell.
Our evolutionary history will illuminate the hysteria and anxiety of tribal consciousness. Civilization itself has only been lately arrived at in the past several centuries. Given America's crucial role now (some might even call it the linchpin of global civilization), the election of an erratic ignoramus as our leader suggests our institutions have not yet evolved to the point that we can confidently navigate the relentless churn of innovation and upheaval. That's tonight's lesson. A huckster/demagogue exposed the terror in the hearts of frightened people who resent the complexity of modern civilization. We will soon learn that complexity is the least of our problems.
Posted by: soleri | November 08, 2016 at 10:51 PM
Trump dumps his Trumpkin supporters, delegates policy and 100% implementation of Ryan Plan to the House, and starts a White House version of The Apprentice. The New Order.
Posted by: Quija | November 09, 2016 at 12:05 AM
No suprises here and I'm willing to bet Ruben wasn't suprised.
Change for changes sake is stupid but thats what the Democrats went tone deaf on. Of course, race and gender were also a factor.
Trump gives the White Boys Oyxgen for few more years. Will the Democrats be able to rebuild? Will the Gadfly return?
FRANKLIN, Trump as I posted weeks ago will find places for Arpaio and Brewer. And if you think Penzone is just going to Waltz into MCSO and make everything OK. Think again. He is going to walk into a buzz saw mined with political IED's. I have seen this deal before. And wait until Trump finds a way pick a new US attorney and a new Agent in Charge of the US Marshalls office. You know of course that the website to migrate to Canada crashed. What do you predict now for the Hispanics that turned Joe out. I dont see much improvement in the next 5 years. If U need proof just review the Arizona election results. There were a few upsets but very few. And don't plan on APS giving U a rate cut or showing up to give U a free Solar installation.
Enough I have to go to work in a few hours.
Posted by: Cal Lash | November 09, 2016 at 01:05 AM
the leviathan smiles
Posted by: D | November 09, 2016 at 01:40 AM
I hold the DNC responsible for this shit storm. Their arrogant rigging of the nomination process with super delegates and all the bs tricks by the likes of DWS turned off the energized younger voters who packed the caucus's I attended. They wanted change and had a washed up shifty insider crammed down their throats. These could have been the base for rebuilding corp D. Good luck getting them back.
Posted by: ross | November 09, 2016 at 02:34 AM
Congratulations ross. Your de facto candidate Trump won. Your virginity is still intact, that is, until a Republican President, Republican Senate and Republican House have their way with you time after time for the next four years. But at least you Bernie Bros didn't vote for evil Hillary, right. Silly child.
Posted by: RNC | November 09, 2016 at 03:15 AM
We could've had a president Sanders today, but know-it-alls like Soleri poo-poohed everyone else's opinion, and assured us all that ONLY Hillary Clinton could win the general election. Mr. Talton bought his whole tiresome shtick,and jumped right on board. You two pretty much self-sorted your way to complete obliviousness, and you dragged the rest of us down with you. Thanks a lot. Now we have the worst disaster in American history to deal with, maybe even the collapse of the Republic. The next time I tell you an idea is bad (Rolling out the Goddamned Clintons in 2016 was as bad as it gets), and I tell you why, maybe you should listen.
Posted by: Pat | November 09, 2016 at 04:50 AM
Well, well, well. The Bernie Bros know who's to blame, and it's not them. It's everyone who wouldn't knuckle under to their regime of purity and sanctimony. Tell you what, Pat: if you think this blog determined the outcome, you are even more petty and asinine than your narcissistic politics.
No one can prove or disprove a counterfactual, but we should be clear about one thing: Bernie Bros were objectively pro-Trump through this nightmare of a campaign. They established the emotional blackmail and scandal-mongering necessary for a Trump victory. When you impugn America's public servants as whores and sellouts, don't be surprised when the entire edifice takes on the lurid coloration of a bordello. You loved sticking it to the mainstream more than you hated fascism. This election was just more payback from America's chronic crybabies for whom good enough was just another variation on cosmic evil.
We will spend the rest of American history litigating this catastrophe, but if you want to blame the liberal tradition, for which Rogue and I have been proud defenders, have at it. I for one welcome your hatred. Yeah, you get to gloat because the real object of your hatred - American democracy in all its muted glory - suffered what might prove to be a mortal body blow. But let's be clear about one thing: if you voted for Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein, or if you didn't vote at all, you are all still contemptible vermin. You were confronted with a stark moral choice and you flunked that simple test. You voted instead for your vanity and moral preening. This is how democracies fail. If you can't see the difference between a decent political actor like Hillary Clinton and an utterly immoral monster like Donald Trump, you are - quite simply - beyond the reach of ordinary human shame.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 06:21 AM
I'm with Pat. No lashing out, no name calling, simply this: you did yourselves and your readers (of which I no longer am one since the primaries) a disservice in your support of the Clintons. Mr. Talton, Soleri.
The question is this, is it not now time for self evaluation and introspection? Or will the finger pointing continue?
That question is not for me, I've already weighed you and found you wanting. But what will you do for you?
Sincerely.
Posted by: Kevin Hall | November 09, 2016 at 06:59 AM
Kevin, I'll do what I continue to do: stand up for reality. The idea that Bernie would have beaten Trump is just you being stupid. You and Pat have no idea how Bernie would have done. Instead, you helped Trump win by furthering right-wing disinformation about Clinton.
Hillary is not a great political talent by any means. But her liberal bona fides are light years ahead of Bernie's. She was in the trenches when sanctimonious lefties were still in diapers. She's been around a long time and made a lot of enemies - all on the right with able assists from you lefty narcissists.
The one thing the asshole left accomplished this season is yet one more example why you can't trust them with democracy. Given the stark choice in this election, they decided their "feelings" were more important than objective reality. We lived through this nightmare in 2000 when their team helped elect George W Bush. Now, they've given us Donald Trump.
To all you Bernie or Busters: FUCK YOU.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 07:39 AM
Cal Lash-
My first question is, how does Penzone address Tent City? I mean, the lawsuit nonsense aside, I understand (possibly incorrectly) that his supporters want Tent City gone. So is he going to push to release a portion of his population or ask for funds to build new permanent facilities?
I think it's great he won -- anyone who costs taxpayers as much in b.s. legal fees as Arpaio deserves to lose -- but he's got a host of issues that need to be addressed and, of course, not a state government that is interested in really seeing him succeed.
Posted by: blaxabbath | November 09, 2016 at 07:41 AM
Our Hitler moment. The question now is, how will we respond?
Posted by: Ex Phx Planner | November 09, 2016 at 08:06 AM
A blog before, Soleri wrote:
I'm going to write my post-mortem on the eve instead of the aftermath of Trump's definitive loss.
Is he EVER correct?
Here's a lesson just in case anyone actually wants to learn anything. In a couple of postings, Rogue and Soleri kind of defined this blog as a progressive blog with some outliers, and I guess that's accurate.
Now, you guys can keep those blinders on and continue to be shocked out just how Republican-ish this country is (President, Senate, House, Governors, State Attorney Generals, State houses, etc.).
Or you can kind of get out there and better understand that amazingly,it's a big, diverse country that doesn't necessarily share your narrow views.
Soleri also wrote in a previous blog that he was having trouble sleeping given just the possibility of a Trump presidency.
Sweet dreams, jackass.
Posted by: INPHX | November 09, 2016 at 08:08 AM
"To all you Bernie or Busters: FUCK YOU." - Soleri
The veil is lifted and exactly what I meant by found wanting.
Posted by: Kevin Hall | November 09, 2016 at 08:22 AM
INPHX, sieg heil, asshole.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 08:26 AM
Ex Phx Planner, I have no idea what your cryptogram is supposed to mean, but if you didn't vote for Hillary, you voted for Trump. Don't blame me for your vote.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 08:29 AM
Again, with the vapid Nazi references.
When you got nothing, fall back on racism, fascism, Nazi-ism, misogyny, and the litany of other childish accusations.
Cause that's working out pretty well.
I guess this means you're just going to keep the blinders on?
I'm stunned.
Posted by: INPHX | November 09, 2016 at 08:39 AM
Agree with soleri.
Posted by: RNC | November 09, 2016 at 08:43 AM
soleri,
You are exactly the reason we have Trump as the Pres. elect. You consider yourself a genius, above reproach and infallible. You are just like the DLC and DNC. In short you appreciate yourself over much. Maybe the Clinton Foundation is hiring genius's.
Have a nice day!
Posted by: ross | November 09, 2016 at 08:43 AM
To clarify, the country just elected a racist mad man and we are in danger.
I'm holding back my "I told you so's" because further dividing the left will send us deeper into the abyss.
My question is how do we move forward? What can we learn from history on what to do next? And I'm not exaggerating with the Hitler comparison
As I've wrote multiple times on this blog, I supported Sanders but voted for Clinton because it would be dangerous and irresponsible to do anything else. Not that danger is here and smart people need to figure out what to do next.
Posted by: Ex Phx Planner | November 09, 2016 at 08:54 AM
ross, why not go fellate Trump while you're at it. We live in a democracy. Hillary beat Bernie. Get the fuck over it and yourself.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 08:55 AM
Soldering is right on the money. It's hard for you to face the mirror, but it's undeniable.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 08:55 AM
Soleri not Soldering.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 08:55 AM
In 2 years we might have the opportunity to start fixing Trump's mess. I'm not holding my breath but his failed policies might inspire midterm turnout. 4 years might be too long to recover from. It will be like running an engine without motoroil.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 08:58 AM
INPHX, you are utterly vile. Remember when you were going to vote for catatonic Ben Carson? Or that failed CEO, Carly Fiorina? Then you were playing footsie with Bernie or Busters? Like most right-wing trolls, you play a double game in forums like this, forming fake alliances with your ideological opposites to get exactly what you never had the courage to admit: you supported a racist for president whose campaign was founded on an explicitly racist meme: birtherism. Which you called "legitimate".
I'm on record here saying some really cautionary things about democracy. We can vote to end this experiment if we so choose, and with Donald Trump, we might well have done that. Electing someone with a fascist sensibility should have sent shock waves through the electorate. Instead, people behaved as if it were refreshing that a pathological liar and con artist was somehow channeling "real America".
You have trolled this forum for one reason: to help a movement based on nebulous racial and cultural resentments gain power. Who else did that kind of thing? Hitler. I know Trump is not quite so demonic, but he still represents an extraordinary danger. If you're too uneducated to know this danger, you will likely vote for the person who somehow validates your anger. I'm telling you (and all you Bernie a-holes) that you people do not love America, its principles, or its people. You love your tribe. That's it.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 09:08 AM
Ex Phx Planner, thanks for the clarification.
I have no plan. The next four years will by devastating and perhaps beyond repair. This was probably the most pivotal election in our lifetimes, and the bad guys won. Kiss goodbye effective action on climate change. Wave farewell to a more liberal Supreme Court. Say hello to huge tax cuts for the wealthy. And probably advise your friends looking for affordable health care that they might want to immigrate to Canada.
We did this to ourselves. Not just the uneducated in the heartland, but all of us by refusing to understand exactly what was at stake here. Now we're a huge hole.
We will have to wait and see what happens, but given the necromancy on the right, and false equivalency in the center, there is no guarantee that we can come back. Too many people have swallowed too many lies. National suicide is no longer just a rhetorical thrust. It's an actual possibility.
Posted by: soleri | November 09, 2016 at 09:22 AM
Slimy Soleri, you've been Trumped.
Posted by: teri dudas | November 09, 2016 at 09:23 AM
From what I've gleaned of Trump's economic plan, we can expect another recession after 2017. Start saving your money now, especially if you're employ is that of a vulnerable industry: retail, real estate, small businesses and new business formation.
The scariest outcome may be recession-induced job and income losses that can have lasting consequences on individuals and families. The rise of poverty levels and falling income will occur as a result of the recession and will have lasting consequences for kids. This will impose long-lasting costs on the economy.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 09:28 AM
Soleri writes:
ross, why not go fellate Trump while you're at it. We live in a democracy. Hillary beat Bernie. Get the fuck over it and yourself.
I reply:
Soleri, why not go kiss Hillary while you're at it. We live in a democracy. Trump beat Hillary. Get the heck over it and yourself.
Posted by: INPHX | November 09, 2016 at 09:34 AM
I will try to get a column up later this afternoon.
Posted by: Rogue Columnist | November 09, 2016 at 09:49 AM
Recession not until after 2017 may be overly optimistic. The Fed starts raising interest rates this December as the Republican investor camp has been demanding almost throughout the Obama presidency.Then there is the Trump unpredictability factor which should cause most sensible large employers to pause both in hiring and capital investment.
Posted by: Anon | November 09, 2016 at 09:54 AM
phxSUNSfan-
I find this interesting. The conventional GOP deregulation agenda typically leads to a bubble first. I'd be surprised to see everything tank so quickly. Yeah, you'll probably see Trump slay (or try to, anyways) some of DC's golden calves but Congress will only allow him to do so much.
The big advantage we have over Brexit is that our trade deals are still in place until Trump negotiates better ones and gets Congress to sign off them (read: ain't gonna happen). Of course, we will have no meaningful change on many stagnant issues (middle class tax reform, climate change, campaign finance, etc) but I don't honestly see Trump doing much outside of the ordinary GOP playbook.
Posted by: blaxabbath | November 09, 2016 at 09:56 AM
The Fed might actually opt to keep rates low due to impending revenue losses.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 10:00 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/09/white-voters-victory-donald-trump-exit-polls
We had to pick the open bigot?? It doesn't matter if Arpaio is out of office--the ethnic cleansing is going to get worse. And we will soon have millions of American citizens choosing between their families and their nation. Excuse me, millions of non-white citizens. White voters already chose their families over the nation.
At least the post-racial era is done.
Posted by: #theintellectualassassin | November 09, 2016 at 10:33 AM
I tend to think the mass deportation was part of Trumps "Art of The Deal" to push the other Rs out of the primary. Trump won't bother with that, too much downside. And I'm sure he will deny ever saying he would. His tax cuts and possible spending bills will fire up inflation, along with his possible tariffs. Hard to say what he will actually do. The market seemed to shrug it off quickly enough.
Posted by: 100 Octane | November 09, 2016 at 11:25 AM
At least Putin is happy. "Populist Billionaire" LOL. I wish George Carlin was alive to see this.
Posted by: 100 Octane | November 09, 2016 at 11:32 AM
Rogue Columnist made an interesting statement in the previous column...
Maybe that changed after the banksters, but I doubt it on a scale enough to really win. The Tea Party was white supremacist and against Obamacare. Its dander up about Wall Street was decidedly secondary, and they keep electing the party that does the bidding of big business without any question. And that's the GOP.
One of the main themes, as posited in the election coverage, was one of the middle class being both ignored by Washington and being economically squeezed. Trump campaigned on getting good paying jobs "back."
Point 1: Our form of capitalism rewards "ambition" and greed. If the job can be done cheaper (overseas), our government encourages it. No trade barriers. Does Trump really have a plan to get the high pay back? Because if he doesn't the middle class rage over being "ignored" will only increase.
Point 2: If big business is supported more by the Republicans than Democrats, electing the Republicans would only seem to be enabling the big business M.O. of "offshoring" jobs. If the jobs ever come back, they come back paying much less. It sounds like a recipe for increased "worker rage" at the establishment--an establishment they helped to keep going.
Posted by: Bradley Dranka | November 09, 2016 at 11:41 AM
You do all realize that more people voted for Clinton, don't you?
Now, if this were a democracy that might mean something...
And neither candidate has the support of a majority of American voters.
Posted by: B. Franklin | November 09, 2016 at 11:48 AM
If Clinton gets the majority of votes, the popular vote, then it's safe to say she had the support of the majority of American voters. If you mean neither has over 50% of the popular vote then your statement holds true.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 11:54 AM
Very few of the Trump supporters seem to realize that the capitalist system they adore is one of the reasons they're in the economic pickle that makes them angry.
Our "winner take (just about) all" form of capitalism rewards ambition, avarice, and greed. It is quite indifferent and unconcerned with "social justice." Wealth is the do-all and end-all. It is this all-consuming desire for profits that has created and helped ferment the economic "rage" against Washington.
We in America have promoted and endorsed a profit motive without conscience. If there were a "conscience" aspect in our capitalism, maybe some of those high-paying jobs wouldn't have "migrated,"
because there might have been some soul-searching in the consideration process. People--and the community's welfare--might have had a place at the table.
But the profit motive was so strong, conscience never had a chance.
We're reaping that "whirlwind" in blue collar resentment.
Posted by: Bradley Dranka | November 09, 2016 at 11:57 AM
On a local note, Arizona is still too close to call for Trump. Pretty interesting considering, if you told me last week that Trump was going to win the race I'd have said he'd have killed Hillary in AZ then.
Also, with under 2 million votes cast, AZ is also looking at the lowest turnout in years. I look forward to the post-race analysis on who stayed home, why, and if the concerns about adequate polling sites did end up playing a roll.
Posted by: blaxabbath | November 09, 2016 at 12:01 PM
Carlin and Janet Reno got lucky.
Later on whiteness and around the campfires, now got work to do.
Posted by: Cal Lash | November 09, 2016 at 12:02 PM
The county had 644 polling sites compared to only 60 in March. However, that wasn't mentioned by the media any time prior to the election. Statewide there were still 212 less polling sites compared to 2012. Bottom-line is that too many people decided to stay at home or didn't bother to mail in their ballot.
Posted by: phxSUNSfan | November 09, 2016 at 12:10 PM
Haha, soleri lost it.
Fuck you too, sir.
Haha.
Posted by: Petro | November 09, 2016 at 08:09 PM