The chart above is pimped on Twitter as "Voter anger explained — in one chart."
With all due respect to my friends at Brookings, it doesn't explain the lead enjoyed in Arizona by [the real-estate developer]. The Wall Street Journal is closer to the mark in a story headlined, "Arizona Primaries to Stress Immigration."
[The real-estate developer] has made illegal immigration a centerpiece of his campaign since the day he entered the presidential race last June. He’s said many illegal immigrants from Mexico are “criminals” and “rapists.”
He’s also called for the mass deportation of all 11 million illegal immigrants currently living in the U.S. One of his top applause lines at rallies is that he will build a wall along the entire U.S.-Mexican border and force the Mexican government to pay for it. His rivals, including Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, have made similar comments.
“Border security is not just rhetoric here in Arizona,” said Christine Jones, a businesswoman and Republican activist who ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2014. “It will always be among the top issues because it’s an issue that people live” in their day to day lives in the state, said Ms. Jones, who is currently neutral in the 2016 race.
Mr. Trump has won the endorsements of the popular former governor of the state, Jan Brewer, as well as Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who has built a national reputation for his tough stances on undocumented immigrants and his unorthodox treatment of prisoners in his custody, including housing inmates in tents and forcing them to wear pink underwear.
How precious of one of Rupert Murdoch's mouthpieces to talk of the Badged Ego's "unorthodox treatment of prisoners..." (Read civil rights violations and prisoner deaths that have cost the county millions of dollars and set a trap that might finally bring this villain down — my sources say he is finally beginning to sweat).
But you get the idea. In Arizona and many places around the country, the appeal of [the real-estate developer] is all about maintaining white supremacy and regaining lost status by the blue-collar white demographic in the midst of a changing America.
Arizona was never a major manufacturing state. It had no auto industry to lose to Mexico or machine tools to China, as with Ohio. It had no textile, apparel, and furniture sectors employing 300,000 or more, as did the Carolinas — lost to China. Since the 1980s, its incomes have trailed the national average. The legacy semiconductor industries lured to Phoenix by great effort from the late 1940s through the 1960s are mostly a memory, especially Motorola.
No, this election is all about brown skin, about beating back "the other."
Nevermind that Arizona used to be part of Mexico. Or that illegal immigrant labor has been an essential part of the short hustle of cheap housing for retirees from the Midwest. Logic does not trump self-selecting tribalism.
I know what some of you are thinking: that #FeelTheBern will somehow do something that even SB 1070 and sweeps couldn't do. That it can mobilize a transformative wave of Hispanic voting that makes Arizona a purple, even a blue state.
Nothing in Arizona's history, certainly not since the enormous influx of Anglos from the Midwest gave Republicans a lock on state politics (goodbye Roosevelt Row BID), indicates this will happen. All of the outrages of recent years, all the failures of Republican policies, have only reinforced the ruling Anglo class. Because they vote. If anything, the Democratic Party has become weaker. And don't expect a Social Democratic Party to make Maryvale offset the East Valley, Sun City, and championship golf.